Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

Weather@Home

Home laptop running a climate model

Modelling climate events on home PCs

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Developing and utilising the New Zealand Earth System Model to produce improved projections of climate change.

A ship in the sea

The focus of this programme is to assemble the first New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM), which sits in the heart of the Deep South Challenge work.

An Earth System Model combines the physical processes of atmospheric and oceanic circulation with the chemical and biological processes that impact the earth system.

Earth system models inform international assessments of climate, such as the assessment reports published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
 

Addressing limitations of international models

Developing the NZESM means that we no longer need to base our climate projections on overseas models. This is important because due to their focus on the Northern Hemisphere climate, overseas models often poorly represent some processes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The resulting biases can have serious consequences for the quality of projections over Aotearoa New Zealand.
 

Building on existing work and collaboration

The development of the New Zealand Earth System Model hasn't started from scratch. Existing models provide important building blocks that apply anywhere, and our modellers are supported by strong collaborations with overseas partners.
 

One of few national Earth System Models in the world

Notably, this work puts Aotearoa New Zealand in with the handful of other countries that run their own earth system models, and gives us the resource and expertise to contribute to global climate modelling efforts.
 

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme and find more information about our planned simulations, including how and when global models will be downscaled for New Zealand, at the NZESM page, here.

 

Learn more about simulating New Zealand's changing climate on the NZESM home page, here.

Science lead

Dr Olaf Morgenstern, NIWA
Email: olaf.morgenstern@niwa.co.nz

 

Latest news and updates

Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

The Wharewaka on Wellington's waterfront

Deep South Challenge symposium created opportunities for researchers to hear directly from end-users 

Remember our September symposium at Te Wharewaka ō Pōneke? Well, results are in from the surveys of participants we carried out to find out how well our aims for the symposium had been met.

Flood map for South Dunedin under climate change

Creating a climate-safe Dunedin through community-driven climate action

2018 may well be the year New Zealand gets serious about adapting to our changing climate. Last year, and the start of this one, gave all of us plenty of opportunities to experience a future in which creeping sea level rise and extreme weather – from drought to flood to surprise storm surges – make day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive.

Near-term climate predictions for New Zealand

Otematata Station

Improving predictions and understanding deep south drivers of New Zealand’s climate

Climate change is already here. Living in a changing climate means playing catch-up: trying to work out what has changed, what is changing and what changes are just around the corner. Although the dramatic transformations expected later this century get the most attention, the impact of current change is already significant, and is affecting societies now.

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Developing and utilising the New Zealand Earth System Model to produce improved projections of climate change.

A ship in the sea

The focus of this programme is to assemble the first New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM), which sits in the heart of the Deep South Challenge work.

An Earth System Model combines the physical processes of atmospheric and oceanic circulation with the chemical and biological processes that impact the earth system.

Earth system models inform international assessments of climate, such as the assessment reports published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
 

Addressing limitations of international models

Developing the NZESM means that we no longer need to base our climate projections on overseas models. This is important because due to their focus on the Northern Hemisphere climate, overseas models often poorly represent some processes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The resulting biases can have serious consequences for the quality of projections over Aotearoa New Zealand.
 

Building on existing work and collaboration

The development of the New Zealand Earth System Model hasn't started from scratch. Existing models provide important building blocks that apply anywhere, and our modellers are supported by strong collaborations with overseas partners.
 

One of few national Earth System Models in the world

Notably, this work puts Aotearoa New Zealand in with the handful of other countries that run their own earth system models, and gives us the resource and expertise to contribute to global climate modelling efforts.
 

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme and find more information about our planned simulations, including how and when global models will be downscaled for New Zealand, at the NZESM page, here.

 

Learn more about simulating New Zealand's changing climate on the NZESM home page, here.

Science lead

Dr Olaf Morgenstern, NIWA
Email: olaf.morgenstern@niwa.co.nz

 

Latest news and updates

Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

The Wharewaka on Wellington's waterfront

Deep South Challenge symposium created opportunities for researchers to hear directly from end-users 

Remember our September symposium at Te Wharewaka ō Pōneke? Well, results are in from the surveys of participants we carried out to find out how well our aims for the symposium had been met.

Flood map for South Dunedin under climate change

Creating a climate-safe Dunedin through community-driven climate action

2018 may well be the year New Zealand gets serious about adapting to our changing climate. Last year, and the start of this one, gave all of us plenty of opportunities to experience a future in which creeping sea level rise and extreme weather – from drought to flood to surprise storm surges – make day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive.

Testing the NZESM through a single vertical column

Scott Base

Developing capacity in process assessment and improvement in NZESM through the use of the single column version of the model

Imagine that you’re standing at Scott Base in Antarctica. Look straight up into the atmosphere. Our project tests the accuracy of the NZ Earth System Model (NZESM) along this vertical column.

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Developing and utilising the New Zealand Earth System Model to produce improved projections of climate change.

A ship in the sea

The focus of this programme is to assemble the first New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM), which sits in the heart of the Deep South Challenge work.

An Earth System Model combines the physical processes of atmospheric and oceanic circulation with the chemical and biological processes that impact the earth system.

Earth system models inform international assessments of climate, such as the assessment reports published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
 

Addressing limitations of international models

Developing the NZESM means that we no longer need to base our climate projections on overseas models. This is important because due to their focus on the Northern Hemisphere climate, overseas models often poorly represent some processes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The resulting biases can have serious consequences for the quality of projections over Aotearoa New Zealand.
 

Building on existing work and collaboration

The development of the New Zealand Earth System Model hasn't started from scratch. Existing models provide important building blocks that apply anywhere, and our modellers are supported by strong collaborations with overseas partners.
 

One of few national Earth System Models in the world

Notably, this work puts Aotearoa New Zealand in with the handful of other countries that run their own earth system models, and gives us the resource and expertise to contribute to global climate modelling efforts.
 

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme and find more information about our planned simulations, including how and when global models will be downscaled for New Zealand, at the NZESM page, here.

 

Learn more about simulating New Zealand's changing climate on the NZESM home page, here.

Science lead

Dr Olaf Morgenstern, NIWA
Email: olaf.morgenstern@niwa.co.nz

 

Latest news and updates

Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

The Wharewaka on Wellington's waterfront

Deep South Challenge symposium created opportunities for researchers to hear directly from end-users 

Remember our September symposium at Te Wharewaka ō Pōneke? Well, results are in from the surveys of participants we carried out to find out how well our aims for the symposium had been met.

Flood map for South Dunedin under climate change

Creating a climate-safe Dunedin through community-driven climate action

2018 may well be the year New Zealand gets serious about adapting to our changing climate. Last year, and the start of this one, gave all of us plenty of opportunities to experience a future in which creeping sea level rise and extreme weather – from drought to flood to surprise storm surges – make day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive.

Stratospheric chemistry in the NZESM

Clouds

Improving the simulation of stratospheric chemistry in the NZESM

The aim of this project is mainly to improve the simulation of stratospheric chemistry in the NZ Earth Systems Model (NZESM). Stratospheric ozone is particularly relevant to climate change in the southern hemisphere because of the emergence, in every spring, of the ozone hole above Antarctica.

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Developing and utilising the New Zealand Earth System Model to produce improved projections of climate change.

A ship in the sea

The focus of this programme is to assemble the first New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM), which sits in the heart of the Deep South Challenge work.

An Earth System Model combines the physical processes of atmospheric and oceanic circulation with the chemical and biological processes that impact the earth system.

Earth system models inform international assessments of climate, such as the assessment reports published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
 

Addressing limitations of international models

Developing the NZESM means that we no longer need to base our climate projections on overseas models. This is important because due to their focus on the Northern Hemisphere climate, overseas models often poorly represent some processes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The resulting biases can have serious consequences for the quality of projections over Aotearoa New Zealand.
 

Building on existing work and collaboration

The development of the New Zealand Earth System Model hasn't started from scratch. Existing models provide important building blocks that apply anywhere, and our modellers are supported by strong collaborations with overseas partners.
 

One of few national Earth System Models in the world

Notably, this work puts Aotearoa New Zealand in with the handful of other countries that run their own earth system models, and gives us the resource and expertise to contribute to global climate modelling efforts.
 

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme and find more information about our planned simulations, including how and when global models will be downscaled for New Zealand, at the NZESM page, here.

 

Learn more about simulating New Zealand's changing climate on the NZESM home page, here.

Science lead

Dr Olaf Morgenstern, NIWA
Email: olaf.morgenstern@niwa.co.nz

 

Latest news and updates

Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

The Wharewaka on Wellington's waterfront

Deep South Challenge symposium created opportunities for researchers to hear directly from end-users 

Remember our September symposium at Te Wharewaka ō Pōneke? Well, results are in from the surveys of participants we carried out to find out how well our aims for the symposium had been met.

Flood map for South Dunedin under climate change

Creating a climate-safe Dunedin through community-driven climate action

2018 may well be the year New Zealand gets serious about adapting to our changing climate. Last year, and the start of this one, gave all of us plenty of opportunities to experience a future in which creeping sea level rise and extreme weather – from drought to flood to surprise storm surges – make day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive.

Sulfate aerosols over the Southern Ocean

Clouds over the southern ocean

Improving the representation of sulfate aerosols over the Southern Ocean in the NZESM

Have you ever looked at the ocean and noticed that the sky above it appeared hazy? This is caused by the presence of tiny particles or droplets in the air.

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Developing and utilising the New Zealand Earth System Model to produce improved projections of climate change.

A ship in the sea

The focus of this programme is to assemble the first New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM), which sits in the heart of the Deep South Challenge work.

An Earth System Model combines the physical processes of atmospheric and oceanic circulation with the chemical and biological processes that impact the earth system.

Earth system models inform international assessments of climate, such as the assessment reports published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
 

Addressing limitations of international models

Developing the NZESM means that we no longer need to base our climate projections on overseas models. This is important because due to their focus on the Northern Hemisphere climate, overseas models often poorly represent some processes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The resulting biases can have serious consequences for the quality of projections over Aotearoa New Zealand.
 

Building on existing work and collaboration

The development of the New Zealand Earth System Model hasn't started from scratch. Existing models provide important building blocks that apply anywhere, and our modellers are supported by strong collaborations with overseas partners.
 

One of few national Earth System Models in the world

Notably, this work puts Aotearoa New Zealand in with the handful of other countries that run their own earth system models, and gives us the resource and expertise to contribute to global climate modelling efforts.
 

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme and find more information about our planned simulations, including how and when global models will be downscaled for New Zealand, at the NZESM page, here.

 

Learn more about simulating New Zealand's changing climate on the NZESM home page, here.

Science lead

Dr Olaf Morgenstern, NIWA
Email: olaf.morgenstern@niwa.co.nz

 

Latest news and updates

Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

The Wharewaka on Wellington's waterfront

Deep South Challenge symposium created opportunities for researchers to hear directly from end-users 

Remember our September symposium at Te Wharewaka ō Pōneke? Well, results are in from the surveys of participants we carried out to find out how well our aims for the symposium had been met.

Flood map for South Dunedin under climate change

Creating a climate-safe Dunedin through community-driven climate action

2018 may well be the year New Zealand gets serious about adapting to our changing climate. Last year, and the start of this one, gave all of us plenty of opportunities to experience a future in which creeping sea level rise and extreme weather – from drought to flood to surprise storm surges – make day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive.

New methods to simulate Southern Ocean clouds

Atmosphere over the southern ocean

Climate model evaluation using satellite simulators: A like for like methodology

Modelling clouds and their influence is a significant challenge. Most cloud processes happen at scales far smaller than can be simulated by a climate model such as the NZ Earth System Model (NZESM).

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Developing and utilising the New Zealand Earth System Model to produce improved projections of climate change.

A ship in the sea

The focus of this programme is to assemble the first New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM), which sits in the heart of the Deep South Challenge work.

An Earth System Model combines the physical processes of atmospheric and oceanic circulation with the chemical and biological processes that impact the earth system.

Earth system models inform international assessments of climate, such as the assessment reports published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
 

Addressing limitations of international models

Developing the NZESM means that we no longer need to base our climate projections on overseas models. This is important because due to their focus on the Northern Hemisphere climate, overseas models often poorly represent some processes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The resulting biases can have serious consequences for the quality of projections over Aotearoa New Zealand.
 

Building on existing work and collaboration

The development of the New Zealand Earth System Model hasn't started from scratch. Existing models provide important building blocks that apply anywhere, and our modellers are supported by strong collaborations with overseas partners.
 

One of few national Earth System Models in the world

Notably, this work puts Aotearoa New Zealand in with the handful of other countries that run their own earth system models, and gives us the resource and expertise to contribute to global climate modelling efforts.
 

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme and find more information about our planned simulations, including how and when global models will be downscaled for New Zealand, at the NZESM page, here.

 

Learn more about simulating New Zealand's changing climate on the NZESM home page, here.

Science lead

Dr Olaf Morgenstern, NIWA
Email: olaf.morgenstern@niwa.co.nz

 

Latest news and updates

Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

The Wharewaka on Wellington's waterfront

Deep South Challenge symposium created opportunities for researchers to hear directly from end-users 

Remember our September symposium at Te Wharewaka ō Pōneke? Well, results are in from the surveys of participants we carried out to find out how well our aims for the symposium had been met.

Flood map for South Dunedin under climate change

Creating a climate-safe Dunedin through community-driven climate action

2018 may well be the year New Zealand gets serious about adapting to our changing climate. Last year, and the start of this one, gave all of us plenty of opportunities to experience a future in which creeping sea level rise and extreme weather – from drought to flood to surprise storm surges – make day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive.

Melting ice in the NZESM

Deck of the Tangaroa

Freshwater from icebergs and ice shelf melt in the NZESM

While the reduction of Arctic sea ice is alarming researchers worldwide, Antarctic sea ice extent has actually been increasing over the past 30 years.

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Earth System Modelling and Prediction

Developing and utilising the New Zealand Earth System Model to produce improved projections of climate change.

A ship in the sea

The focus of this programme is to assemble the first New Zealand Earth System Model (NZESM), which sits in the heart of the Deep South Challenge work.

An Earth System Model combines the physical processes of atmospheric and oceanic circulation with the chemical and biological processes that impact the earth system.

Earth system models inform international assessments of climate, such as the assessment reports published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
 

Addressing limitations of international models

Developing the NZESM means that we no longer need to base our climate projections on overseas models. This is important because due to their focus on the Northern Hemisphere climate, overseas models often poorly represent some processes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The resulting biases can have serious consequences for the quality of projections over Aotearoa New Zealand.
 

Building on existing work and collaboration

The development of the New Zealand Earth System Model hasn't started from scratch. Existing models provide important building blocks that apply anywhere, and our modellers are supported by strong collaborations with overseas partners.
 

One of few national Earth System Models in the world

Notably, this work puts Aotearoa New Zealand in with the handful of other countries that run their own earth system models, and gives us the resource and expertise to contribute to global climate modelling efforts.
 

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme

Keep up-to-date with our modelling programme and find more information about our planned simulations, including how and when global models will be downscaled for New Zealand, at the NZESM page, here.

 

Learn more about simulating New Zealand's changing climate on the NZESM home page, here.

Science lead

Dr Olaf Morgenstern, NIWA
Email: olaf.morgenstern@niwa.co.nz

 

Latest news and updates

Road underwater

DSC Seminar #6 | Counting the cost of climate change: Treasury seminar redux

With Dave Frame, Belinda Storey and David Fleming

Climate change is already making day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive, both for ordinary New Zealanders and for our local and central governments. New Zealanders are increasingly interested in climate adaptation strategies. Conversations about the cost of early adaptation versus the risk of delayed action are growing in volume.

The Wharewaka on Wellington's waterfront

Deep South Challenge symposium created opportunities for researchers to hear directly from end-users 

Remember our September symposium at Te Wharewaka ō Pōneke? Well, results are in from the surveys of participants we carried out to find out how well our aims for the symposium had been met.

Flood map for South Dunedin under climate change

Creating a climate-safe Dunedin through community-driven climate action

2018 may well be the year New Zealand gets serious about adapting to our changing climate. Last year, and the start of this one, gave all of us plenty of opportunities to experience a future in which creeping sea level rise and extreme weather – from drought to flood to surprise storm surges – make day-to-day life more precarious and more expensive.